Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.056609 0.064391 0.072399 0.081222 0.090639 0.100361 0.111128
2025-07-06 0.043578 0.054993 0.067400 0.081735 0.097698 0.114800 0.134382
2025-07-13 0.039084 0.053295 0.069362 0.088531 0.110467 0.134505 0.162572
2025-07-20 0.030905 0.046026 0.063881 0.085911 0.111812 0.140823 0.175323
2025-07-27 0.027764 0.044252 0.064365 0.089779 0.120221 0.154817 0.196452
2025-08-03 0.023870 0.040993 0.062616 0.090615 0.124780 0.164160 0.212093
2025-08-10 0.020417 0.037866 0.060678 0.090916 0.128454 0.172282 0.226174
2025-08-17 0.016959 0.034290 0.057819 0.089779 0.130153 0.177895 0.237183
2025-08-24 0.013052 0.029524 0.052964 0.085745 0.127995 0.178675 0.242304
2025-08-31 0.010242 0.025994 0.049470 0.083200 0.127466 0.181237 0.249386
2025-09-07 0.008445 0.023820 0.047686 0.082764 0.129480 0.186798 0.259986
2025-09-14 0.007278 0.022552 0.047102 0.083863 0.133399 0.194662 0.273341
2025-09-21 0.006879 0.022807 0.049036 0.088809 0.142824 0.209974 0.296539
2025-09-28 0.005487 0.020927 0.047610 0.089059 0.146180 0.217876 0.310942
2025-10-05 0.005563 0.022070 0.050974 0.096156 0.158660 0.237304 0.339569
2025-10-12 0.003939 0.019159 0.047594 0.093401 0.157893 0.239959 0.347530
2025-10-19 0.003596 0.019118 0.048903 0.097459 0.166284 0.254240 0.369878
2025-10-26 0.002867 0.017903 0.048112 0.098336 0.170317 0.262945 0.385311
2025-11-02 0.002192 0.016581 0.047004 0.098651 0.173525 0.270559 0.399373
2025-11-09 0.001501 0.014851 0.044987 0.097459 0.174565 0.275318 0.409826
2025-11-16 0.000770 0.012317 0.041157 0.093226 0.171190 0.274212 0.412796
2025-11-23 0.000366 0.010493 0.038434 0.090554 0.169878 0.275701 0.418966
2025-11-30 0.000180 0.009438 0.037138 0.090096 0.171666 0.281237 0.430254